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JP Morgan’s oil price forecast
























                                                                                           Oil price illustrative picture

             Over  the  last  18  months,  the  remain  the  major  driving     The  emergence  of  Omicron
             world has been plagued by an     force behind oil prices.          Covid-19  is  not  expected  to
             unprecedented  health  crisis.   With  increased  supply  from     slow  down  holiday  travels.
             The  Covid-19  pandemic  has     US  oil  producers  and  an       Analysts at JP Morgan forecast
             caused the global economy to     increase of investments in the    that recent gas price increases
             stall.  As  a  result,  countries  oil industry after a lapse since  are overreactions by investors
             around  the  world  are  facing  the    beginning    of    the     worried  about  falling  demand
             severe  economic  challenges     pandemic,  JP  Morgan’s  oil      for  oil  as  a  direct  result  of  a
             and    consumer      demand      price forecast can be reversed.   potential country lockdown.
             outpaces    supply    largely.   The firm said the market may
             Several  industries  have  been  overestimate the impact of the
             negatively  affected  by  this   Omicron  variant  of  Covid-19
             unforeseen  situation:  airlines,  on  the  oil  price.  In  their
             leisure  facilities,  casinos  and  opinion,  despite  the  recent
             gaming,   auto   parts   and     release of $50 million barrels
             equipment,  and  oil  and  gas   from  the  Strategic  Petroleum
             drilling.  In  this  ongoing     Reserve    by    the   Biden
             pandemic,  the  oil  supply  has  administration,  oil  prices  will
             not  kept  up  with  demand,  so  remain  high.US  efforts  to
             consumers  throughout  the       lower oil prices will have little
             world are feeling the effects of  impact  on  the  current  oil
             elevated  gas  prices.  There  is  crisis. JP Morgan believes that
             no  doubt  that  supply  plays  a  “with  OPEC+  being  firmly  in
             major  role  in  driving  oil    the driver's seat for oil prices,
             prices.  Currently,  the  oil
             supply imbalance needs to be      Brent will hit $120/bl in 2022
             resolved. For years to come, JP   and  could  even  overshoot  to
             Morgan  predicts  steady  oil     $150/bl in 2023”.                    JPMorgan Chase World Headquarters
                                                                                                     © CC BY-SA 4
             demand, while the supply will



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